Use este identificador para citar ou linkar para este item: http://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1003547
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dc.contributor.authorANDRADE, A. S.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorSANTOS, P. M.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorPEZZOPANE, J. R. M.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorBETTIOL, G. M.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorEVANGELISTA, S. R. M.pt_BR
dc.date.accessioned2014-12-23T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.date.available2014-12-23T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.date.created2014-12-23pt_BR
dc.date.issued2014pt_BR
dc.identifier.citationPesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, v. 49, n. 10, p. 745-753, out. 2014.pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1003547pt_BR
dc.descriptionThe objective of this work was to analyze future scenarios for palisade grass yield subjected to climate change for the state of São Paulo, Brazil. An empirical crop model was used to estimate yields, according to growing degree-days adjusted by one drought attenuation factor. Climate data from 1963 to 2009 of 23 meteorological stations were used for current climate conditions. Downscaled outputs of two general circulation models were used to project future climate for the 2013-2040 and 2043-2070 periods, considering two contrasting scenarios of temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration increase (high and low). Annual dry matter yield should be from 14 to 42% higher than the current one, depending on the evaluated scenario. Yield variation between seasons (seasonality) and years is expected to increase. The increase of dry matter accumulation will be higher in the rainy season than in the dry season, and this result is more evident for soils with low-water storage capacity. The results varied significantly between regions (<10% to >60%). Despite their higher climate potential, warmer regions will probably have a lower increase in future forage production.pt_BR
dc.language.isoporpt_BR
dc.rightsopenAccesspt_BR
dc.subjectEmpirical modelpt_BR
dc.subjectETApt_BR
dc.subjectPrecispt_BR
dc.subjectTropical grasspt_BR
dc.titleClimate change and future scenarios for palisade grass production in the state of São Paulo, Brazil.pt_BR
dc.typeArtigo de periódicopt_BR
dc.date.updated2017-08-29T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroBrachiaria Brizanthapt_BR
dc.subject.nalthesaurusUrochloa brizanthapt_BR
riaa.ainfo.id1003547pt_BR
riaa.ainfo.lastupdate2017-08-29 -03:00:00pt_BR
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2014001000001pt_BR
dc.contributor.institutionANDRÉ SANTANA ANDRADE, USP, Piracicaba, SP.pt_BR
dc.contributor.institutionPATRICIA MENEZES SANTOS, CPPSEpt_BR
dc.contributor.institutionJOSE RICARDO MACEDO PEZZOPANE, CPPSEpt_BR
dc.contributor.institutionGIOVANA MARANHAO BETTIOL, CPPSEpt_BR
dc.contributor.institutionSILVIO ROBERTO MEDEIROS EVANGELISTA, CNPTIA.pt_BR
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