Use este identificador para citar ou linkar para este item: http://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1035222
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dc.contributor.authorHAMADA, E.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorVOLPATO, M. M. L.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorFERREIRA, G. de L.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorALVES, H. M. R.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorSOUZA, V. C. O. dept_BR
dc.contributor.authorVIEIRA, T. G. C.pt_BR
dc.date.accessioned2016-01-26T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.date.available2016-01-26T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.date.created2016-01-26pt_BR
dc.date.issued2015pt_BR
dc.identifier.citationIn: SIMPÓSIO BRASILEIRO DE SENSORIAMENTO REMOTO, 17., 2015, João Pessoa. Anais... São José dos Campos: INPE, 2015.pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1035222pt_BR
dc.descriptionAbstract: Brazil is the largest producer and exporter of coffee in the world. The rust (Hemileia vastratrix) is the most important disease of coffee crop in Brazil, with important damage effects on its production. The climate can directly and indirectly affect the interaction between the coffee plant and the fungus. Accordingly, the climate change can alter the spatial distribution and favorability of the disease, resulting in new distribution pattern. The present study aimed to simulate future scenarios of coffee rust epidemics by mapping the geographical distribution and adopting a logic mathematical criteria that estimates climate favorability of pathogen incidence and data projected by global climate models from IPCC AR4 (Fourth Assessment Report). The study considered the months (April, May, and June) of period of 1961-1990 and future periods of 2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100, B1 and A2 scenarios of IPCC. According to the results obtained, for current climate (1961-1990) the percentage of unfavorable areas to the occurrence of the disease ranges from approximately 40% in April, 20% in May, and 10% in June. For future scenarios, the occurrence ratio changes to approximately 20% in the months from April to June, with the exception of the A2 scenario to 2071-2100 period, which provides approximately 10% of unfavorable area. Thus, there is a tendency in the future to increase the favorability of incidence of the rust on coffee in Southeast region of Brazil. On average, the maps obtained in scenarios B1 and A2 had a similar tendency.pt_BR
dc.language.isoporpt_BR
dc.rightsopenAccesspt_BR
dc.subjectDiseasept_BR
dc.subjectGeoprocessingpt_BR
dc.subjectMudanças climáticaspt_BR
dc.subjectGeoprocessamentopt_BR
dc.subjectHemileia vastratrixpt_BR
dc.subjectCoffeept_BR
dc.titleSimulação dos efeitos das mudanças climáticas sobre a ferrugem do café na região Sudeste do Brasil.pt_BR
dc.typeArtigo em anais e proceedingspt_BR
dc.date.updated2018-01-10T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroCafépt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroFerrugempt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroDoença de plantapt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroClimapt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroCoffea Arábicapt_BR
dc.subject.nalthesaurusRust diseasespt_BR
dc.subject.nalthesaurusClimate changept_BR
dc.format.extent2p. 2629-2636pt_BR
riaa.ainfo.id1035222pt_BR
riaa.ainfo.lastupdate2018-01-10 -02:00:00pt_BR
dc.contributor.institutionEMILIA HAMADA, CNPMA; MARGARETE MARIN LORDELO VOLPATO, EPAMIG; GIOVANE DE LIMA FERREIRA, COTUCA-UNICAMP; HELENA MARIA RAMOS ALVES, SAPC; VANESSA CRISTINA OLIVEIRA DE SOUZA, UNIFEI; TATIANA GROSSI CHQUILOFF VIEIRA, UNIFEI.pt_BR
Aparece nas coleções:Artigo em anais de congresso (CNPMA)

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