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dc.contributor.authorMASSETTI, E.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorGUIDUCCI, R. do C. N.pt_BR
dc.contributor.authorOLIVEIRA, A. F. dept_BR
dc.contributor.authorMENDELSOHN, R.pt_BR
dc.date.accessioned2016-07-07T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.date.available2016-07-07T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.date.created2016-07-07pt_BR
dc.date.issued2013pt_BR
dc.identifier.citationSocial science research network, New York, n. 200, p. 1-31, dec. 2013.pt_BR
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1048378pt_BR
dc.descriptionWe use at microregion level from the Brazilian Census years 1975, 1985, 1995 and 2006 to assess the impact of climate change on Brazilian agriculture using a Ricardian model. We estimate the Ricardian model using repeated cross sections for each Census Year, a pooled model and a twostage model based on Hsiao 2003. Results show that a marginal increase of temperature is harmful for agriculture in all regions of Brazil, with the exception of the South. The most negative impacts are felt in the North and in the North-East. There is mixed evidence on the effect of a marginal impact of precipitation. Additional rainfall is beneficial in South, South-East and in the Center-West. It is harmful in other regions. Impact estimates with three GCM scenarios generated using the A2 SRES emission scenario show that climate change is expected to be generally harmful in 2060. In 2100 only the climate change scenario generated by the Hadley HADCM3 model predicts negative impacts; the MIMR model predicts that climate change will not significantly affect land values while the NCPCM model predicts significant beneficial effects using the Hsiao model and nonsignificant beneficial effects using the pooled model. Among Brazilian regions, only the South and some cases the South-East are expected to benefit from climate change.pt_BR
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.rightsopenAccesseng
dc.subjectImpacto econônicopt_BR
dc.titleThe impact of climate change on the brazilian agriculture: a ricardian study at microregion level.pt_BR
dc.typeArtigo de periódicopt_BR
dc.date.updated2016-07-11T11:11:11Zpt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroProdutividadept_BR
dc.subject.thesagroProdução agrícolapt_BR
dc.subject.thesagroMudança Climáticapt_BR
dc.subject.nalthesaurusClimate changept_BR
dc.subject.nalthesaurusAgriculturept_BR
dc.subject.nalthesaurusEconomic impactpt_BR
dc.subject.nalthesaurusAgricultural productspt_BR
riaa.ainfo.id1048378pt_BR
riaa.ainfo.lastupdate2016-07-11pt_BR
dc.contributor.institutionEMANUELE MASSETTI; ROSANA DO CARMO NASCIMENTO GUIDUCCI, SGI; ARYEVERTON FORTES DE OLIVEIRA, CNPTIA; ROBERT MENDELSOHN.pt_BR
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