Use este identificador para citar ou linkar para este item: http://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1144578
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dc.contributor.authorHAMADA, E.
dc.contributor.authorANGELOTTI, F.
dc.contributor.authorGONÇALVES, R. R. do V.
dc.contributor.authorRAGO, A. M.
dc.date.accessioned2022-07-11T12:21:07Z-
dc.date.available2022-07-11T12:21:07Z-
dc.date.created2022-07-11
dc.date.issued2022
dc.identifier.citationAgrometeoros, v. 30, e026980, 2022.
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1144578-
dc.descriptionClimate change can cause significant shifts in the occurrence and severity of agricultural diseases, altering the distribution of phytosanitary problems with severe economic, social, and environmental consequences. Despite their importance, these new geographic and temporal distributions of plant diseases still demand scrutiny. In the present study, we prospect the geographic distribution of sugarcane brown rust (Puccinia melanocephala) considering average temperature and relative humidity in the main producing region of the state of São Paulo. The geographic database was structured using GIS with projections of future climate change provided by IPCC. Mathematical logic equations were defined and applied to data of average temperature and relative humidity, resulting in monthly maps of climate favorability for the occurrence of the disease. Prospective maps for three future periods (2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100) and two greenhouse gas emission scenarios were compared to the reference period (1961-1990). The analysis considered months from December to May. Our study shows a tendency of decrease in the favorability for the disease in a longer term (2071-2100), more noticeable in the scenario A2 than in B1. These results suggest; however, that this disease demands attention in the management of the producing region for future climate scenarios.
dc.language.isoeng
dc.rightsopenAccess
dc.subjectFerrugem marrom
dc.subjectGeoprocessamento
dc.titleProspecting brown rust of sugarcane in São Paulo-Brazil under climate change scenarios.
dc.typeArtigo de periódico
dc.subject.thesagroCana de Açúcar
dc.subject.thesagroDoença
dc.subject.thesagroMudança Climática
dc.subject.nalthesaurusSugarcane
dc.subject.nalthesaurusClimate change
dc.subject.nalthesaurusPuccinia melanocephala
dc.subject.nalthesaurusPlant diseases and disorders
riaa.ainfo.id1144578
riaa.ainfo.lastupdate2022-07-11
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.31062/agrom.v30.e026980
dc.contributor.institutionEMILIA HAMADA, CNPMA; FRANCISLENE ANGELOTTI, CPATSA; RENATA RIBEIRO DO VALLE GONÇALVES, Unicamp; ALEJANDRO MARIO RAGO, Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria da Argentina.
Aparece nas coleções:Artigo em periódico indexado (CPATSA)

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