Use este identificador para citar ou linkar para este item: http://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1186498
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dc.contributor.authorLIMA, C. E. P.
dc.contributor.authorAMORIM, J. R. A. de
dc.contributor.authorCRUZ, M. A. S.
dc.contributor.authorFONTENELLE, M. R.
dc.date.accessioned2026-04-29T19:48:32Z-
dc.date.available2026-04-29T19:48:32Z-
dc.date.created2026-04-29
dc.date.issued2026
dc.identifier.citationRevista Educa, v. 9, 2026.
dc.identifier.issn2674-8460
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/1186498-
dc.descriptionThis study presents local-scale (1 km²) climate projections for the Lower São Francisco region, located between the states of Sergipe and Alagoas (Brazil). Projections were derived from the ACCESS-CM2 model using the WorldClim database. The exclusive use of ACCESS-CM2 is justified by its physical consistency for the Brazilian territory. Key climatic variables - minimum temperature (Tmin), maximum temperature (Tmax), and precipitation (Prec) - were mapped for four SSPs scenarios up to 2100. The methodology was based on automated workflows developed with the support of generative artificial intelligence and collaborative platforms, which were used to build Python scripts executed in PyQGIS. FAIR and open science principles were adopted with all data deposited on public Zenodo repositories. Results indicate a strong warming trend, with Tmax increases up to 6°C and Tmin up to 5°C, accompanied by reductions in annual precipitation exceeding 250 mm. The rainy season may be shortened from five to three months. These changes pose severe risks to water availability, agricultural productivity, and farmers’ livelihoods, potentially leading to food, nutritional and water insecurity in this socioeconomically and climate vulnerable region. There is urgent need to adopt resilient and adapted strategies. Climate-smart public policies and agricultural systems must be developed, implemented and piloted. As this is a socioeconomically and climatically vulnerable region, this study serves as support for the IPCC climate justice and just transition frameworks.
dc.language.isoeng
dc.rightsopenAccess
dc.titleLocal-scale mapping of future climate scenarios for the Lower São Francisco (SE–AL): implications for climate justice and just transition.
dc.typeArtigo de periódico
dc.subject.thesagroAgricultura Familiar
dc.subject.thesagroSegurança Alimentar
dc.format.extent225 p.
riaa.ainfo.id1186498
riaa.ainfo.lastupdate2026-04-29
dc.contributor.institutionCARLOS EDUARDO PACHECO LIMA, CNPH; JULIO ROBERTO ARAUJO DE AMORIM, CPATC; MARCUS AURELIO SOARES CRUZ, CPATC; MARIANA RODRIGUES FONTENELLE, CNPH.
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